Saturday, July 26, 2008

NLV $22000?

Another $5k should hit. Didn't bother checking the account.

Same position 400 SSO and 5 puts on AAPL.

Why short AAPL?

1. Steve Jobs health- sure his cancer is not acting up again, but he just had a surgery to fix a "bug".

2. Low guidance- we know AAPL likes to give b/s guidance. But tight margin and lower growth rate...the street has an estimate 24% over what AAPL is giving. So Apple must beat guidance by 24%+...not an easy feat at this time of the year.

3. Technical- lower highs, it looks like the stock is rolling over.

Note: I have 4 more weeks to prove AAPL is not worth at $160.

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